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Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Situation Report in Greece

Confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Greece. Data provided by the Ministry of Health.

Greek Version

Nationwide Situation | Vaccine Uptake | Age distribution | Predictions | Prefectures | Map


Predictions

Effective Reproduction Number R_j (estimate)


A likelihood-based estimation procedure that infers the temporal pattern of effective reproduction numbers from an observed epidemic curve. The shown epidemic curve comprises all captured cases assigned to their estimated symptom onset date. Formula uses: Based on the selected data an offset average \Delta (=5) has been applied to assign the cases to their estimated symptom onset date. num of Incubation Days=3, infectivity period Days=5. See notes below for further information. READ MORE

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Positivity Rate


The positivity rate is given with a rolling 7-day average, except in the case of 'Daily PCR+Rapid' which is expressed based on daily values. See notes below for further information. READ MORE

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Implied Infection Fatality Rate (IIFR)


Using the estimates of true infections we can compute the implied infection fatality rate (IIFR), by taking the reported deaths from 28 days into the future (7-day moving average) and dividing it by the true infections (7-day moving average). Note that we assume that reported deaths is roughly equal to true deaths. If there is a significant amount of excess/unreported COVID-19 deaths, then our IIFR estimate will be an underestimate of the true IFR.It is not age-adjusted. As a result, if there is an increasing prevalence of the disease in a younger population, then the IFR will decrease, despite the deadliness of the virus remaining unchanged among a particular age group. See notes below for further information. covid19-projections.com for all assumptions made. READ MORE

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Active Cases (estimate)


NEW
TOTAL
Show Moving Average

Formula: Translate reported cases by adding all the cumulative tested positive cases that existed from 11 days ago (Most people recover from mild COVID-19 within one week and more serious disease within two weeks, giving a absolute median of 11). Some smoothing has also been applied due to some cases being from tourists that tested positive at the borders. See notes below for further information. READ MORE

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«True» number of infections (estimate)


NEW
TOTAL

The core idea behind this method is that we can use the positivity rate to roughly determine the ratio of true infections to reported cases. The hypothesis is that as positivity rate increases, the higher the true prevalence in a region relative to the reported cases. Note that all values used are 7-day moving averages. See notes below or further information. covid19-projections.com for all assumptions made. READ MORE

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Predicted deaths (estimate)


Data Source: covid19.healthdata.org (11-11-2021)

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